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SUMMARY:The Atlantic on the edge: Where is the AMOC going and where has it
  come from?
DTSTART:20260713T090000Z
DTEND:20260713T100000Z
DTSTAMP:20260712T113700Z
UID:indico-event-1131@events.geomar.de
DESCRIPTION:Speaker: Prof. Gerard McCarthy. Department of Geography at May
 nooth University\, Ireland\nHybrid  -  online via \nhttps://geomar.webe
 x.com/geomar-en/j.php?MTID=m6f187b689fccd196c05d249d28f6d0d8\nAbstract:\nT
 he Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) plays a central role
  in Earth's climate system through its transport of heat\, freshwater\, ca
 rbon\, and nutrients. Yet its recent evolution and future trajectory remai
 n subjects of intense scientific and societal interest. This presentation 
 examines what observations reveal about AMOC variability and change\, how 
 these observations can be extended into the past through reconstruction ap
 proaches\, and what they imply for future projections.\nSince 2004\, conti
 nuous measurements from the RAPID observing system at 26°N have transform
 ed our understanding of AMOC variability\, revealing substantial fluctuati
 ons across timescales from days to decades. Recent analyses highlight the 
 importance of distinguishing long-term signals from short-term noise when 
 assessing trends and change\, highlighting the challenges of reconciling e
 vidence across different timescales and methodologies.\nThese observationa
 l perspectives provide context for evaluating climate model projections\, 
 which consistently project a weakening AMOC under continued greenhouse gas
  forcing. However\, important questions remain regarding model fidelity\, 
 particularly given their mixed success in reproducing historical AMOC evol
 ution. \nBy bringing together evidence from sustained observations\, obse
 rvational reconstructions\, proxy records and model simulations\, this tal
 k will highlight the need for the ongoing AMOC in Focus ‘mini-IPCC for A
 MOC’ that is ongoing to build consensus on the present and  future of A
 tlantic circulation.\n \n\nhttps://events.geomar.de/event/1131/
LOCATION:5-1.214 - PAZIFIK / PACIFIC- Rechte Seite - Großer\, unterteilba
 rer Konferenzraum (GEOMAR - Standort Ostufer  / GEOMAR - East Shore)
URL:https://events.geomar.de/event/1131/
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